Horizontal reasoning method behind Agenda Intelligence: strategic-risk memo skill for AI agents with evidence boundaries, uncertainty, scenarios, actor incentives, and human-review framing. Not a product surface or factual verifier.

End-to-End Python econometric pipeline for modeling geopolitical risk in international trade using advanced Bayesian filtering, high-dimensional fixed effects, and split-panel jackknife inference. Replicates Hardwick's (2025) methodology with full robustness testing and automated reporting.

Staggered DID in Structural Gravity Monte Carlo Analysis

🌍 Model political distance and trade dynamics using a quantitative framework to enhance understanding of international trade relationships.

Report for the National Board of Trade Sweden evaluating the impact of the EU-Ukraine free trade agreement on trade flows using a gravity model.

🇺🇸 Production Leontief Input-Output model forecasting Trump 2025 tariff impacts using 100% PUBLIC BEA/BLS data

Replication pipeline for the Tariff Exposure Propagation Index, linking trade, tariff, input-output, freight, SEC, and market data to measure hidden supply-chain vulnerability.

Reproducible pipeline for forecasting Korean supply-shock import prices with LLM-derived Trade Regulation Scores. 10-model benchmark including Chronos.

Implement a three-layer memory system for Claude Code to enhance AI retrieval, organization, and querying with automatic and on-demand layers.

Panel‑data and event‑study analysis of trade wars and their macroeconomic impacts on trade, GDP growth, labor markets, and foreign direct investment.

Econometric analysis of steel tariffs' effects on manufacturing employment using difference-in-differences methodology with BLS data (2020-2024)

Thesis and replication pipeline using realized US customs data to test whether the 2025 Liberation Day tariffs lowered trade or mainly shifted imports from China toward other foreign suppliers.

The Trinity: Multi-AI prompt engineering framework (Claude+Gemini+Python). Proven ROI: 3,300x cost reduction ($18 vs $60K). Real metrics: 959 searches → 5,755 documents → 245 policies. Validated on semiconductor tariffs, scalable to any industry.

Tariff scenario simulator with multi-country impact analysis

WTO APIs.json profile

DutyBird: Daily-updated US tariff data from 8 government sources. Section 301 rates, active exclusions, Treasury collections, and Federal Register notices — machine-readable JSON, updated every 6 hours. https://dutybird.io

US-China tariff impact modeler for supply chain cost analysis

Comparative analysis of Structural Gravity Estimators (PPML vs. Polyads) on sparse international trade data (CEPII BACI). A replication and benchmarking project based on Resende, Lecué et al. (2026).