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Description
The Base predictions and Reconciliation sections don't have a complete explanation of the hierarchical reconciliation methodology. Ideas to improve those sections:
Base predictions:
- Define what we mean by "base predictions".
- Use a different model. By construction, the
Naivemodel is coherent, so this model does not well motivate the use of hierarchical reconciliation. In particular,RandomWalkWithDriftcould work.
Reconciliation
- Show that the base forecasts are not coherent, using
plot_hierarchical_predictions_gap(fix [BUG]plot_hierarchical_predictions_gapis not general enough #85 first). - Explain the methods used for reconciliation. In this case, the explanation for BottomUp is missing.